Albegov M., Bursa B., Kuraeva O., Simonov A. The Forecast
of Future Development of Fuel and Energy Complex in Eastern Areas of Russia
and their Delivery to the Countries of North East Asia.
The article considers the problem of forecasting of future development
of the relations in power engineering between Russia and the countries
of North East Asia in terms of mathematical models: 1) models of internal
consumption for regions of Siberia and the Far East; 2) export deliveries
of power resources abroad. Calculations have shown that in power of eastern
areas of Russia proceed two parallel processes: 1) the share of export
deliveries by 2015-2020 is likely to increase up to 40% general manufacture;
2) the gain of internal consumption of power resources is going to make
only 0,4–0,5% per year.
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