Michael G.Zavelsky. Social dynamics and economy modernization
Economy development is considered as a process dependent on motivational-institutional
structure change, defining an immersion of "long waves" and, accordingly,
of economy technological modernization in "superlong waves". The model,
displaying acceleration (deceleration) of adapting the velocities of moving
one economy variables to velocities of moving the other ones, as well as
speed of adjustment of shifts of ones with regard to equilibrium to like
shifts of the other ones under the influence of growing old and renovation
of this structure, is built and explored. Probable length of such "hypercycles",
which accords with the wide-spread belief about a period "long waves",
is revealed.
Nikita N. Moiseev. If we may talk about Russia in future times
within the context of the fate of civilization
It is considered contemporary situation in Russia in context of all-civilization
crisis. The alternative of development scenario, implemented in Russia
in last ten years, is analyzed. It is considered the necessary pre-requisites
for needed measures for turning to way of raising of national economy.
Natalia M. Rymashevskaja, Joseph Y. Diskin. Personal savings
as a source of investments
This article follows the results of All-Russian personal savings’ research.
This research showed availability of very considerable non organized money
savings (in roubles and hard currency) concentrated mostly at 2% of very
rich people. The main problem in these savings’ transaction into investments
is to overcome these posssessors’ deep distrust in the political situation
stability and Russian financial and banking system reliability. It proposes
ways to transform personal savings into investment.
Natalia. N. Rayskaya, Jacob V. Sergienko, Alexander A. Frenkel.A
Study of Interrelation between Factors Shaping Inflationary Processes in
Russia
Inflationary processes are studied with due regard for the following
two aspects of the transitional economy’s specific character: demand inflation
and cost inflation. Interdependence between the main inflation indicators
is analyzed using autocorrelation and crosscorrelation functions
which make it possible to reveal delays in dynamics and determine time
lags. Two models of inflationary process are suggested: the lags-adjusted
multi-factor model and the inertia model.
Victor M. Polterovich, Alexander A. Friedman. Economic Science and
Economic Education in Russia: The Problem of Integration
Integration of economic science and economic education via the transformation
of Research Institute (NII) into NII-University is considered. Using the
example of the New Economic School, experience of partial integration of
an academic institute (CEMI RAS) with masters program in economic is analyzed.
Main tasks for the reform of higher economic education are discussed, and
the structure of a new a Curriculum is sketched. The possibility of the
transformation of CEMI RAS into a Research Institute - Economic University
considered.